Antipodeans: vulnerable to rising US dollar - Westpac
Analysts at Westpac explained their outlooks for the antipodeans.
Key Quotes:
"AUD/USD 1 day: 0.7440 below looks vulnerable, thanks to a rising US dollar.
AUD/USD 1-3 month: The uncertainty generated by Brexit plus further RBA easing should be negative for the AUD during the months ahead. We target sub-0.72.
NZD/USD 1 day: Still stuck around 0.7000 but with potential for a sustained break lower given monetary policy direction.
NZD/USD 1-3 month: The uncertainty generated by Brexit plus further RBNZ easing should be negative for the NZD. We target 0.67.
AUD/NZD 1 day: Consolidating July’s gains in a 1.0600-1.0770 range.
AUD/NZD 1-3 month: We expect both the RBA and RBNZ to cut their policy rates in August, to 1.5% and 2.0% respectively. Relative central bank paths are thus neutral for the cross. Multi-month, though, there is a case for higher, towards 1.0800, given it is currently well below fair value implied by interest rates, commodity prices and risk sentiment."