12 Jul 2013
Flash: US bull market interrupted – Goldman Sachs
FXstreet.com (New York) - According to the Economics Research Team at Goldman Sachs, “After reaching a high in late May, the S&P 500 retreated through late June - the May-June pullback is the biggest challenge faced by the US equity market so far in 2013 and, as such, qualifies as a ‘drawdown’.”
We take a look here at a full history of equity drawdown episodes in the US and other major markets to understand what determines the severity of a drawdown and what impact drawdowns may have in the future.
Not necessarily bad news for long-term market trends
Ultimately, “we find that drawdowns tend to be short-lived, that recovery back to previous highs takes some time, but that longer-term market trends remain, for the most part, intact. In the current context, these findings reinforce our still-constructive view on equity risk in general, particularly for developed markets, where the recent drawdowns—while challenging for market participants—were, on a historical basis, mild in terms of duration and depth.”
We take a look here at a full history of equity drawdown episodes in the US and other major markets to understand what determines the severity of a drawdown and what impact drawdowns may have in the future.
Not necessarily bad news for long-term market trends
Ultimately, “we find that drawdowns tend to be short-lived, that recovery back to previous highs takes some time, but that longer-term market trends remain, for the most part, intact. In the current context, these findings reinforce our still-constructive view on equity risk in general, particularly for developed markets, where the recent drawdowns—while challenging for market participants—were, on a historical basis, mild in terms of duration and depth.”